Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Sevilla |
35.5% ( 0.44) | 26.9% ( 0.19) | 37.6% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.02% ( -0.72) | 53.97% ( 0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.58% ( -0.61) | 75.42% ( 0.61) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.94% ( -0.08) | 29.06% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.02% ( -0.1) | 64.97% ( 0.1) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.19% ( -0.7) | 27.8% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.61% ( -0.9) | 63.39% ( 0.9) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.5% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |