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La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
San Mames
Osauna logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Osasuna

Berenguer (33'), Villalibre (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Mallorca
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Osasuna

Neither team can claim to be in their best form heading into their closing double-header, something which could make for a match mixed with quality and errors. Nevertheless, we feel that home advantage will prove key for Athletic, leading up to predict a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
53.72% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 24.99% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 21.29% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.64% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.91% (0.069000000000003 0.07)54.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.48% (0.057000000000002 0.06)75.52% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02)20.11% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)52.37% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.64% (0.07 0.07)40.36% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.02% (0.064 0.06)76.98% (-0.065000000000012 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 53.71%
    Osasuna 21.29%
    Draw 24.99%
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 13.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 53.71%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 21.29%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna

Athletic Bilbao
77.4%
Draw
18.9%
Osasuna
3.8%
53
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2022 8pm
Osasuna
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
Kike (10')
Angel (66'), Arrasate (67'), Torro (76'), Herrera (78'), Avila (90+2')
Avila (90+4')
Sancet (16', 25', 68')
Alvarez (66'), Martinez (90+4')
May 8, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Osasuna
Morcillo (1'), Sancet (62')
Vencedor (50'), Marcelino (71')
Brasanac (12'), Budimir (89')
Torro (26'), Brasanac (90+2')
Oct 24, 2020 5.30pm
Osasuna
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Garcia (81' pen.)
Garcia (16'), Arrasate Elustondo (45'), Sanjurjo (54'), Vidal (63')
Arrasate Elustondo (78')

Alvarez (24'), Garcia (26')
Feb 16, 2020 5.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Osasuna

Vencedor (27'), San Jose (33'), Martinez (77'), Aduriz (80')
Sanjurjo (29')
Roncaglia (38'), Sanjurjo (39'), Gallego (48'), Brasanac (55')
Nov 24, 2019 1pm
Osasuna
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Avila (76')
Avila (2'), Brasanac (32'), Lillo (48'), Garcia (57')
Williams (21'), Kodro (79')
Cordoba (52'), Williams (58'), Berchiche (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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