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Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
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Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Rayo Vallecano logo

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 2
Rayo Vallecano

Williams (14'), Sancet (28'), Williams (33')
Garcia (45')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Trejo (5'), Falcao (80')
Valentin (21'), Ciss (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

Rayo deserve credit for their start to the season, and they have already put in strong away performances at Barcelona and Espanyol this term. Athletic are generally strong in front of their own fans, though, and we are expecting the Basque outfit to put another three points on the board here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 14.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.66%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawRayo Vallecano
62.28% (-0.628 -0.63) 23.58% (0.269 0.27) 14.14% (0.355 0.35)
Both teams to score 39.18% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.49% (-0.315 -0.31)58.51% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.91% (-0.247 -0.25)79.08% (0.244 0.24)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (-0.348 -0.35)18.53% (0.345 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (-0.585 -0.59)49.77% (0.583 0.58)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.1% (0.355 0.35)51.9% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.06% (0.23 0.23)85.94% (-0.233 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 62.27%
    Rayo Vallecano 14.14%
    Draw 23.57%
Athletic BilbaoDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 16.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 13.66% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 7.68% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.24% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 62.27%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 9.62% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 2.94% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.31% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 3.49% (0.076 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.07% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 14.14%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano

Athletic Bilbao
83.3%
Draw
12.1%
Rayo Vallecano
4.5%
66
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Lopez (89')
Serrano (30')
Williams (17'), Zarraga (60'), Garcia (69'), Simon (82'), Lekue (86'), Williams (88')
Sep 21, 2021 9pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-2
Rayo Vallecano
Ciss (33' og.)
Nunez (16'), Muniain (56'), Martinez (90+5')
Garcia (5'), Falcao (90+6')
Catena (7'), Guardiola (42'), Maras (83')
Apr 14, 2019 1pm
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Rayo Vallecano
Williams (2', 50'), Garcia (72')
Williams (90')
Moreno (45'), De Tomas (85')
Advincula (49'), Ba (68')
Advincula (52')
Oct 24, 2018 6pm
Apr 10, 2016 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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