Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Villarreal | 5 | 8 | 10 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 5 | 7 | 10 |
7 | Atletico Madrid | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Girona | 5 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 5 | -2 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 14.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.66%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
62.28% ( -0.63) | 23.58% ( 0.27) | 14.14% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 39.18% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.49% ( -0.31) | 58.51% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.91% ( -0.25) | 79.08% ( 0.24) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.47% ( -0.35) | 18.53% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.23% ( -0.59) | 49.77% ( 0.58) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.1% ( 0.35) | 51.9% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.06% ( 0.23) | 85.94% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 16.21% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 13.66% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.63% Total : 62.27% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.28% Total : 14.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |