Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Villarreal | 5 | 8 | 10 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 5 | 7 | 10 |
7 | Atletico Madrid | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Girona | 5 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 5 | -2 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 14.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.66%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
62.28% (![]() | 23.58% (![]() | 14.14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 39.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.49% (![]() | 58.51% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.91% (![]() | 79.08% (![]() |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.47% (![]() | 18.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.23% (![]() | 49.77% (![]() |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.1% (![]() | 51.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.06% (![]() | 85.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 16.21% (![]() 2-0 @ 13.66% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.96% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.68% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.04% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 62.27% | 1-1 @ 10.63% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.62% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 6.31% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.28% Total : 14.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |