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La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Rayo Vallecano logo

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 2
Rayo Vallecano

Williams (14'), Sancet (28'), Williams (33')
Garcia (45')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Trejo (5'), Falcao (80')
Valentin (21'), Ciss (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

Rayo deserve credit for their start to the season, and they have already put in strong away performances at Barcelona and Espanyol this term. Athletic are generally strong in front of their own fans, though, and we are expecting the Basque outfit to put another three points on the board here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 14.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.66%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawRayo Vallecano
62.28% (-0.628 -0.63) 23.58% (0.269 0.27) 14.14% (0.355 0.35)
Both teams to score 39.18% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.49% (-0.315 -0.31)58.51% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.91% (-0.247 -0.25)79.08% (0.244 0.24)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (-0.348 -0.35)18.53% (0.345 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (-0.585 -0.59)49.77% (0.583 0.58)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.1% (0.355 0.35)51.9% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.06% (0.23 0.23)85.94% (-0.233 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 62.27%
    Rayo Vallecano 14.14%
    Draw 23.57%
Athletic BilbaoDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 16.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 13.66% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 7.68% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.24% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 62.27%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 9.62% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 2.94% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.31% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 3.49% (0.076 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.07% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 14.14%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano

Athletic Bilbao
83.3%
Draw
12.1%
Rayo Vallecano
4.5%
66
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Lopez (89')
Serrano (30')
Williams (17'), Zarraga (60'), Garcia (69'), Simon (82'), Lekue (86'), Williams (88')
Sep 21, 2021 9pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-2
Rayo Vallecano
Ciss (33' og.)
Nunez (16'), Muniain (56'), Martinez (90+5')
Garcia (5'), Falcao (90+6')
Catena (7'), Guardiola (42'), Maras (83')
Apr 14, 2019 1pm
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Rayo Vallecano
Williams (2', 50'), Garcia (72')
Williams (90')
Moreno (45'), De Tomas (85')
Advincula (49'), Ba (68')
Advincula (52')
Oct 24, 2018 6pm
Apr 10, 2016 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid37297187266194
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona37246778463278
4Atletico MadridAtletico372341068432573
5Athletic Bilbao371811860372365
6Real Sociedad371612951371460
7Real BetisBetis37141494845356
8Villarreal371410136464052
9Valencia37139153843-548
10AlavesAlaves37129163545-1045
11Osasuna37128174455-1144
12Getafe371013144152-1143
13Sevilla371011164752-541
14Celta Vigo371010174455-1140
15Las PalmasLas Palmas37109183246-1439
16Rayo Vallecano37814152947-1838
17Mallorca37716143143-1237
18CadizCadiz37615162549-2433
RGranada3749243872-3421
RAlmeria37212233774-3718


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