Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Real Valladolid | 5 | -7 | 4 |
18 | Elche | 4 | -8 | 1 |
19 | Getafe | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Osasuna | 4 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 4 | 4 | 7 |
8 | Girona | 5 | 1 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Elche had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 1-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
28.76% (![]() | 28.39% (![]() | 42.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.88% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.97% (![]() | 61.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.98% (![]() | 81.01% (![]() |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.53% (![]() | 37.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.74% (![]() | 74.25% (![]() |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% (![]() | 28.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.07% (![]() | 63.93% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 10.38% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 1.73% Total : 28.76% | 1-1 @ 13.13% (![]() 0-0 @ 10.57% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.08% ( ![]() Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 13.37% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.46% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.31% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 1.67% Total : 42.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |