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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio Anoeta
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Sociedad
1 - 2
Atletico

Guridi (90+3')
Le Normand (13'), Rafinha (36'), Merino (53'), Portu (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Paul (50'), Correa (68')
Griezmann (45+2'), Savic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico Madrid

A draw would not be enough for Real Sociedad to finish fifth, although it might be taken out of their hands ahead of this match. The hosts will be determined to end on a win regardless of whether it means they finish ahead of Real Betis, but Atletico, who might need to triumph to secure third, should be good enough for a point on the final weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
39.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27.65% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 33.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.57% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.84% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)57.16% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)78.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (0.0039999999999907 0)28.47% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)64.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)68.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 39.09%
    Atletico Madrid 33.25%
    Draw 27.64%
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 11.48%
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 39.09%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.14%
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 10.38%
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Atletico

Real Sociedad
25.9%
Draw
29.6%
Atletico Madrid
44.4%
108
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Real Sociedad
2-0
Atletico
Januzaj (33'), Sorloth (47')
Munoz (28'), Silva (59')

Hermoso (31'), Felipe (39'), Cunha (90+2')
Oct 24, 2021 8pm
Atletico
2-2
Real Sociedad
Suarez (61', 77' pen.)
Felipe (31')
Sorloth (7'), Isak (48')
Zaldua (41'), Elustondo (68'), Merino (76')
May 12, 2021 9pm
Dec 22, 2020 6.45pm
Real Sociedad
0-2
Atletico

Le Normand (29'), Elustondo (80'), Isak (86')
Hermoso (49'), Llorente (74')
Savic (16'), Hermoso (29'), Niguez (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13GironaGirona2796123540-533
14Osasuna2671273237-533
15Espanyol2677122537-1228
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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