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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio Anoeta
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Sociedad
1 - 2
Atletico

Guridi (90+3')
Le Normand (13'), Rafinha (36'), Merino (53'), Portu (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Paul (50'), Correa (68')
Griezmann (45+2'), Savic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico Madrid

A draw would not be enough for Real Sociedad to finish fifth, although it might be taken out of their hands ahead of this match. The hosts will be determined to end on a win regardless of whether it means they finish ahead of Real Betis, but Atletico, who might need to triumph to secure third, should be good enough for a point on the final weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
39.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27.65% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 33.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.57% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.84% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)57.16% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)78.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (0.0039999999999907 0)28.47% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)64.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)68.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 39.09%
    Atletico Madrid 33.25%
    Draw 27.64%
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 11.48%
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 39.09%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.14%
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 10.38%
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Atletico

Real Sociedad
25.9%
Draw
29.6%
Atletico Madrid
44.4%
108
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Real Sociedad
2-0
Atletico
Januzaj (33'), Sorloth (47')
Munoz (28'), Silva (59')

Hermoso (31'), Felipe (39'), Cunha (90+2')
Oct 24, 2021 8pm
Atletico
2-2
Real Sociedad
Suarez (61', 77' pen.)
Felipe (31')
Sorloth (7'), Isak (48')
Zaldua (41'), Elustondo (68'), Merino (76')
May 12, 2021 9pm
Dec 22, 2020 6.45pm
Real Sociedad
0-2
Atletico

Le Normand (29'), Elustondo (80'), Isak (86')
Hermoso (49'), Llorente (74')
Savic (16'), Hermoso (29'), Niguez (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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