Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
32.51% ( -0.82) | 28.85% ( 0.07) | 38.64% ( 0.75) |
Both teams to score 44.98% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.45% ( -0.34) | 61.55% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.6% ( -0.26) | 81.4% ( 0.26) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.08% ( -0.76) | 34.92% ( 0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.34% ( -0.81) | 71.66% ( 0.81) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.11% ( 0.28) | 30.89% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.82% ( 0.33) | 67.17% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.17% Total : 32.5% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.84% | 0-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 15 |
20 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |