La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 1pm UK
San Mames Barria
Athletic Bilbao3 - 0Cadiz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mallorca 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, September 3 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, September 3 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 3-1 Villarreal
Friday, September 1 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Friday, September 1 at 6.30pm in La Liga
We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Cadiz
Cadiz deserve huge credit for their solid start to the season, but Athletic will be the favourites here on home soil. Inaki Williams and Nico Williams could cause serious problems to the away side, and we are backing the Basque outfit to navigate their way to all three points at San Mames. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Cadiz |
56.53% ( 0.02) | 24.47% ( -0.01) | 19% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.84% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.25% ( 0.01) | 54.74% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.94% ( 0.01) | 76.06% ( -0.01) |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.73% ( 0.01) | 19.26% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49% ( 0.02) | 50.99% ( -0.02) |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.78% ( -0.01) | 43.22% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.52% ( -0.01) | 79.47% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao 56.53%
Cadiz 19%
Draw 24.46%
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Cadiz |
| 1-0 @ 13.71% 2-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0)Other @ 3.78% Total : 56.53% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 19% |
How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Cadiz
Athletic Bilbao
85.2%Draw
14.8%Cadiz
0.0%27
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2023 8pm
Form Guide
