Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Valencia |
28.85% ( 0.2) | 27.92% ( 0.5) | 43.23% ( -0.69) |
Both teams to score 46.19% ( -1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.6% ( -1.67) | 59.39% ( 1.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.22% ( -1.31) | 79.78% ( 1.3) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.49% ( -0.75) | 36.51% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.7% ( -0.76) | 73.29% ( 0.76) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.75% ( -1.14) | 27.24% ( 1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.33% ( -1.5) | 62.67% ( 1.5) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.87% Total : 28.85% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.86% Total : 43.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 10 | 27 | 30 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
4 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 20 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 18 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
11 | Sevilla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 12 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |