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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Valencia logo

Cadiz
2 - 1
Valencia

Escalante (39'), Guardiola (46')
Fede (60'), Sobrino (85'), Lozano (89'), Ledesma (90'), Hernandez (90+1'), Espino (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lino (51')
Castillejo (75'), Moriba (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 0-1 Osasuna
Tuesday, April 25 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 2-1 Valladolid
Thursday, April 27 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 1-1 Valencia

It is tough to back Valencia away from home, even against a Cadiz outfit that have struggled in front of their own fans. It would certainly not be a surprise to see an away or indeed a home victory on Sunday, but we just have a feeling that a cagey affair will end with the points being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
CadizDrawValencia
28.85% (0.196 0.2) 27.92% (0.496 0.5) 43.23% (-0.694 -0.69)
Both teams to score 46.19% (-1.277 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.6% (-1.67 -1.67)59.39% (1.669 1.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.22% (-1.305 -1.31)79.78% (1.302 1.3)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.49% (-0.752 -0.75)36.51% (0.75 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.7% (-0.763 -0.76)73.29% (0.762 0.76)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75% (-1.138 -1.14)27.24% (1.135 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.33% (-1.502 -1.5)62.67% (1.5 1.5)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 28.85%
    Valencia 43.22%
    Draw 27.92%
CadizDrawValencia
1-0 @ 10.02% (0.418 0.42)
2-1 @ 6.57% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.113 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.21% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 28.85%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 9.95% (0.61 0.61)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 12.93% (0.4 0.4)
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-2 @ 8.41% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 43.22%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Valencia

Cadiz
23.1%
Draw
40.4%
Valencia
36.5%
52
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2023 8pm
gameweek 16
Valencia
0-1
Cadiz
Alcaraz (9')
Sobrino (20')
Apr 3, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 30
Valencia
0-0
Cadiz

Alderete (59'), Paulista (66'), Diakhaby (90+6')

Fede (33'), Alejo (58'), Alcaraz (77'), Mari (86'), Lozano (87')
Mari (90+5')
Feb 2, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Valencia
2-1
Cadiz
Guedes (24'), Duro (79')
Gaya (34'), Comert (53'), Gomez (87')
Perez (54' pen.)
Alejo (38'), Alcaraz (59'), Sobrino (61'), Cala (71'), Parra (87')
Cala (84')
Oct 2, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 8
Cadiz
0-0
Valencia

Alarcon (41'), Calderon (72'), Alejo (83')

Alderete (13'), Foulquier (46'), Guillamon (57'), Diakhaby (90+4')
Apr 4, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 29
Cadiz
2-1
Valencia
Cala (14'), Mauro (88')
Salvi (23'), Cala (26')
Gameiro (19')
Diakhaby (30'), Paulista (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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