Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Valencia |
28.85% ( 0.2) | 27.92% ( 0.5) | 43.23% ( -0.69) |
Both teams to score 46.19% ( -1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.6% ( -1.67) | 59.39% ( 1.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.22% ( -1.31) | 79.78% ( 1.3) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.49% ( -0.75) | 36.51% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.7% ( -0.76) | 73.29% ( 0.76) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.75% ( -1.14) | 27.24% ( 1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.33% ( -1.5) | 62.67% ( 1.5) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.87% Total : 28.85% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.86% Total : 43.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 25 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |