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La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Real Madrid logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 4
Real Madrid

Aspas (23' pen.)
Tapia (13'), Mallo (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Benzema (14' pen.), Modric (41'), Junior (56'), Valverde (66')
Carvajal (65'), Alaba (68')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Celta Vigo.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Celta Vigo.

We said: Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Madrid

Real Madrid had to come from behind to win narrowly at Almeria, and we are expecting this to be another tricky match for the champions considering Celta's quality. It would not be a surprise to see a draw in Vigo, but Real Madrid should just have enough to make it two wins from two at the start of the new season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawReal Madrid
26.02% (-2.869 -2.87) 23.78% (-0.456 -0.46) 50.19% (3.323 3.32)
Both teams to score 56.73% (-0.802 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.29% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.93% (0.00099999999999767 0)67.07% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (-2.123 -2.12)30.91% (2.12 2.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8% (-2.565 -2.57)67.2% (2.563 2.56)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (1.32 1.32)17.88% (-1.322 -1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33% (2.223 2.22)48.67% (-2.227 -2.23)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 26.02%
    Real Madrid 50.19%
    Draw 23.78%
Celta VigoDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 6.56% (-0.514 -0.51)
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.394 -0.39)
2-0 @ 3.81% (-0.476 -0.48)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.369 -0.37)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.288 -0.29)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 26.02%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.243 0.24)
0-1 @ 9.52% (0.392 0.39)
0-2 @ 8.19% (0.663 0.66)
1-3 @ 5.52% (0.362 0.36)
0-3 @ 4.7% (0.559 0.56)
2-3 @ 3.24% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.37% (0.248 0.25)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.314 0.31)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 50.19%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid

Celta Vigo
7.1%
Draw
12.1%
Real Madrid
80.9%
141
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 5.30pm
Celta Vigo
1-2
Real Madrid
Nolito (52')
Galan (36'), Galhardo (40'), Murillo (57')
Benzema (19' pen., 69')
Sep 12, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
5-2
Celta Vigo
Benzema (24', 46', 87' pen.), Junior (54'), Camavinga (72')
Nacho (32'), Junior (55')
Mina (4'), Cervi (31')
Murillo (43'), Araujo (63'), Solari (63')
Mar 20, 2021 3.15pm
Celta Vigo
1-3
Real Madrid
Mina (40')
Tapia (25'), Suarez (78'), Solari (85')
Benzema (20', 30'), Asensio (90+4')
Junior (22'), Kroos (39'), Nacho (70'), Modric (80')
Jan 2, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
2-0
Celta Vigo
Vazquez (6'), Asensio (53')
Asensio (38'), Nacho (50'), Carvajal (84'), Casemiro (87')

Mendez (10'), Tapia (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona197472725225
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196752123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17AlavesAlaves194592131-1017
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Valencia1927101829-1113
20Real ValladolidValladolid1933121337-2412


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