Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 3 | 5 | 7 |
5 | Villarreal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
6 | Atletico Madrid | 4 | 2 | 7 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Espanyol | 3 | -4 | 1 |
16 | Elche | 3 | -4 | 1 |
17 | Sevilla | 4 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 73.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 9.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.33%) and 3-0 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Elche |
73.07% ( 0.6) | 17.34% ( -0.26) | 9.59% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 43.36% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.27% ( 0.16) | 44.73% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.9% ( 0.15) | 67.1% ( -0.15) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.23% ( 0.2) | 10.77% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.24% ( 0.44) | 34.76% ( -0.45) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.59% ( -0.59) | 51.41% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.38% ( -0.4) | 85.62% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Elche |
2-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 73.06% | 1-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.55% Total : 17.34% | 0-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.95% Total : 9.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
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