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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 4, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Elche

Villarreal
4 - 0
Elche

Moreno (26'), Lo Celso (36'), Coquelin (89'), Luis Morales (90+4')
Jackson (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Guti (43'), Milla (59'), Roco (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elche 0-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, August 27 at 4.30pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Elche

Villarreal will be bidding to return to winning ways after dropping points against Getafe, and we are expecting the Yellow Submarine to triumph here. Elche are capable of making it a tough game, but the visitors could fall just short at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 73.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 9.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.33%) and 3-0 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawElche
73.07% (0.60199999999999 0.6) 17.34% (-0.263 -0.26) 9.59% (-0.339 -0.34)
Both teams to score 43.36% (-0.431 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.27% (0.157 0.16)44.73% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.9% (0.15 0.15)67.1% (-0.151 -0.15)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.23% (0.2 0.2)10.77% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.24% (0.444 0.44)34.76% (-0.445 -0.45)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.59% (-0.594 -0.59)51.41% (0.59399999999999 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.38% (-0.401 -0.4)85.62% (0.40000000000001 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 73.06%
    Elche 9.59%
    Draw 17.34%
VillarrealDrawElche
2-0 @ 13.74% (0.13 0.13)
1-0 @ 12.33% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 10.21% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 5.69% (0.148 0.15)
4-1 @ 3.79% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.54% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 73.06%
1-1 @ 8.21% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.04% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 17.34%
0-1 @ 3.68% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 2.73% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.23% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 9.59%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Elche

Villarreal
87.1%
Draw
10.8%
Elche
2.2%
93
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 1pm
Elche
1-0
Villarreal
Boye (78')
Gonzalo (10'), Mojica (87'), Gonzalez (90+3'), Milla (90+4')

Parejo (81'), Capoue (90+3'), Iborra (90+4')
Sep 22, 2021 9pm
Villarreal
4-1
Elche
Pino (5'), Trigueros (39'), Danjuma (60'), Moreno (90+4')
Pedraza (27')
Mojica (19')
Fidel (40'), Gonzalez (73')
Feb 6, 2021 5.30pm
Elche
2-2
Villarreal
Carrillo (49'), Boye (64')
Boye (22')
Moreno (16', 35')
Pedraza (62'), Trigueros (70')
Dec 6, 2020 5.30pm
Villarreal
0-0
Elche

Parejo (64'), Albiol (75'), Coquelin (81')

Milla (23'), Fidel (67'), Almiron (73')
May 10, 2015 4pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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