Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.