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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Atletico Madrid logo

Valencia
0 - 1
Atletico


Maranhao (18'), Gattuso (26'), Correia (42'), Comert (76'), Perez (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Griezmann (66')
Niguez (14'), Simeone (26'), Mandava (27'), Felix (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Valencia 1-2 Atletico Madrid

If their opening double-header is anything to go by, these two clubs could be unpredictable as the season progresses. Valencia will fancy their chances of causing the upset in this fixture, but we cannot go against Atletico at this stage with Simeone's men possibly coming through by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
ValenciaDrawAtletico Madrid
23.48% (-0.448 -0.45) 26.62% (-0.304 -0.3) 49.9% (0.752 0.75)
Both teams to score 45.69% (0.379 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.01% (0.721 0.72)57.99% (-0.72300000000001 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.32% (0.564 0.56)78.68% (-0.56700000000001 -0.57)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.6% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)40.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.99% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)77.01% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66% (0.658 0.66)23.34% (-0.66 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69% (0.948 0.95)57.31% (-0.951 -0.95)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 23.48%
    Atletico Madrid 49.89%
    Draw 26.61%
ValenciaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.55% (-0.242 -0.24)
2-1 @ 5.64% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.87% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 1.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.24% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 23.48%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 9.43% (-0.262 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 13.71% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 9.98% (0.111 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.097 0.1)
0-3 @ 4.84% (0.145 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.39% (0.13 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.058 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.086 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 49.89%

How you voted: Valencia vs Atletico

Valencia
10.3%
Draw
25.6%
Atletico Madrid
64.1%
39
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 8pm
Atletico
3-2
Valencia
Cunha (64'), Correa (90+1'), Hermoso (90+3')
Koke (27'), Hermoso (37'), Suarez (82'), Herrera (84'), Gimenez (90+3')
Musah (25'), Duro (44')
Correia (14'), Foulquier (37'), Musah (43'), Guillamon (61'), Lato (65'), Domenech (83')
Nov 7, 2021 3.15pm
Valencia
3-3
Atletico
Savic (50' og.), Duro (90+2', 90+6')
Guillamon (76'), Musah (90+4')
Suarez (35'), Griezmann (58'), Vrsaljko (62')
Carrasco (90'), Griezmann (90+5')
Jan 24, 2021 8pm
Atletico
3-1
Valencia
Felix (23'), Suarez (54'), Correa (72')
Vrsaljko (30'), Savic (76')
Racic (11')
Nov 28, 2020 3.15pm
Valencia
0-1
Atletico

Racic (28'), Guillamon (57')
Lato (79' og.)
Niguez (43'), Correa (62'), Llorente (76'), Felix (81'), Koke (83')
Feb 14, 2020 8pm
Valencia
2-2
Atletico
Paulista (40'), Kondogbia (59')
Paulista (55'), Mangala (67'), Gomez (79')
Llorente (15'), Partey (43')
Lodi (26'), Vrsaljko (58'), Poveda (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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