Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.