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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 28, 2020 at 3.15pm UK
Mestalla
Atletico Madrid logo

Valencia
0 - 1
Atletico


Racic (28'), Guillamon (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lato (79' og.)
Niguez (43'), Correa (62'), Llorente (76'), Felix (81'), Koke (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 17.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.64%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawAtletico Madrid
17.14%22.94%59.91%
Both teams to score 46.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.46%51.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66%73.34%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.43%43.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.23%79.76%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.15%16.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.15%46.85%
Score Analysis
    Valencia 17.14%
    Atletico Madrid 59.91%
    Draw 22.94%
ValenciaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.1%
2-1 @ 4.51%
2-0 @ 2.53%
3-1 @ 1.25%
3-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 17.14%
1-1 @ 10.86%
0-0 @ 7.34%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 13.07%
0-2 @ 11.64%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-3 @ 6.91%
1-3 @ 5.74%
0-4 @ 3.08%
1-4 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-5 @ 1.1%
2-4 @ 1.06%
1-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 59.91%

How you voted: Valencia vs Atletico

Valencia
23.5%
Draw
26.7%
Atletico Madrid
49.8%
247
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 24
Valencia
2-2
Atletico
Paulista (40'), Kondogbia (59')
Paulista (55'), Mangala (67'), Gomez (79')
Llorente (15'), Partey (43')
Lodi (26'), Vrsaljko (58'), Poveda (71')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Apr 24, 2019 6.30pm
Gameweek 34
Atletico
3-2
Valencia
Morata (9'), Griezmann (49'), Correa (81')
Morata (47'), Luis (56'), Niguez (76')
Gameiro (36'), Parejo (77' pen.)
Soler (22'), Sobrino (73'), Diakhaby (90')
Aug 20, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 1
Valencia
1-1
Atletico
Rodrigo (56')
Garay (45'), Rodrigo (70')
Correa (26')
Savic (13'), Juanfran (52'), Luis (63')
Feb 4, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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