Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mallorca in this match.