Rayo Vallecano1 - 0Mallorca
We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Mallorca
This could be an exciting evening of football with both sides likely to go all out as they attempt to secure a first Copa del Rey semi-final in a long time. We are backing the hosts to make the most of home advantage and their slightly better form to secure a narrow victory on this occasion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rayo Vallecano.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Mallorca |
| 46.96% | 25.74% | 27.29% |
| Both teams to score 51.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.94% | 52.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.21% | 73.79% |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% | 22.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.44% | 55.56% |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.19% | 33.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.53% | 70.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 9.22% 2-0 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-0 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.22% Total : 46.95% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.49% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.13% 1-2 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.32% Total : 27.29% |
