MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 10:41:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
La Liga header desktop

La Liga
Real Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Almeria

Real Madrid
3 - 2
Almeria

Bellingham (57' pen.), Junior (67'), Carvajal (90+9')
Camavinga (90+8'), Carvajal (90+10'), Bellingham (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ramazani (1'), Gonzalez (43')
Ramazani (52'), Garitano (53'), Lopy (64'), Pozo (74'), Gonzalez (84'), Suarez Charris (90+11')
Garitano (90+7')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Almeria.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Almeria.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Almeria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 4-2 Real Madrid
Thursday, January 18 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Almeria

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Girona
Sunday, January 14 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 2-0 Almeria

 There has certainly been an improvement in Almeria's recent performances, and the return of Suarez in an attacking area will boost their survival hopes. Real Madrid have had a tiring start to 2024, and we are not expecting Ancelotti's side to be at their best here, but the hosts should have enough to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 82.52%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 6.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 3-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.52%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAlmeria
82.52% (0.78700000000001 0.79) 10.75% (-0.439 -0.44) 6.73% (-0.353 -0.35)
Both teams to score 57.35% (0.15 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.77% (0.961 0.96)21.22% (-0.966 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.18% (1.331 1.33)39.82% (-1.336 -1.34)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.23% (0.27500000000001 0.28)3.77% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.87% (0.902 0.9)16.12% (-0.907 -0.91)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.6% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)40.4% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.98% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)77.01% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 82.52%
    Almeria 6.73%
    Draw 10.75%
Real MadridDrawAlmeria
3-0 @ 8.94% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.18% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-1 @ 8.1% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-0 @ 7.33% (0.123 0.12)
4-1 @ 6.64% (0.109 0.11)
1-0 @ 4.99% (-0.251 -0.25)
5-0 @ 4.81% (0.183 0.18)
5-1 @ 4.36% (0.165 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 3.01% (0.048 0.05)
6-0 @ 2.63% (0.156 0.16)
6-1 @ 2.38% (0.14 0.14)
5-2 @ 1.97% (0.074 0.07)
7-0 @ 1.23% (0.098 0.1)
7-1 @ 1.12% (0.089 0.09)
6-2 @ 1.08% (0.064 0.06)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 82.52%
1-1 @ 4.52% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-2 @ 3.36% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-0 @ 1.52% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 10.75%
1-2 @ 2.05% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 1.38% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 6.73%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Almeria

Real Madrid
87.0%
Draw
6.5%
Almeria
6.5%
46
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 2
Almeria
1-3
Real Madrid
Arribas (3')
Chumi (59')
Bellingham (19', 60'), Junior (73')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Real Madrid
4-2
Almeria
Benzema (5', 17', 42' pen.), Rodrygo (47')
Lazaro (45+1'), Robertone (61')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 1
Almeria
1-2
Real Madrid
Ramazani (6')
Sadiq (40'), Curro (67'), Puigmal (86')
Vazquez (61'), Alaba (75')
Camavinga (40')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2015 7pm
Real Madrid
3-0
Almeria
> Match Report
Dec 12, 2014 7.45pm
Almeria
1-4
Real Madrid
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515
> La Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!