La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Madrid3 - 2Almeria
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Almeria.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Almeria.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Almeria.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico 4-2 Real Madrid
Thursday, January 18 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Thursday, January 18 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
We said: Real Madrid 2-0 Almeria
There has certainly been an improvement in Almeria's recent performances, and the return of Suarez in an attacking area will boost their survival hopes. Real Madrid have had a tiring start to 2024, and we are not expecting Ancelotti's side to be at their best here, but the hosts should have enough to get the job done. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 82.52%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 6.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 3-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.52%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Almeria |
82.52% ( 0.79) | 10.75% ( -0.44) | 6.73% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 57.35% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.77% ( 0.96) | 21.22% ( -0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.18% ( 1.33) | 39.82% ( -1.34) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.23% ( 0.28) | 3.77% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 83.87% ( 0.9) | 16.12% ( -0.91) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.6% ( -0.02) | 40.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.98% ( -0.01) | 77.01% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Real Madrid 82.52%
Almeria 6.73%
Draw 10.75%
| Real Madrid | Draw | Almeria |
| 3-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.25)5-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.18)5-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.05)6-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.16)6-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.14)5-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.07)7-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.1)7-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.09)6-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.06)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.75% Total : 82.52% | 1-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 10.75% | 1-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.29% Total : 6.73% |
How you voted: Real Madrid vs Almeria
Real Madrid
87.0%Draw
6.5%Almeria
6.5%46
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 6.30pm
Apr 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Real Madrid
4-2
Almeria
Apr 29, 2015 7pm
Dec 12, 2014 7.45pm
Form Guide
Build-up
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