La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Almeria1 - 3Real Madrid
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Almeria.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Almeria.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Almeria 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, August 11 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Friday, August 11 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, August 12 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, August 12 at 8.30pm in La Liga
We said: Almeria 0-2 Real Madrid
Almeria have enough quality to cause Real Madrid problems in this match, but we are finding it tough to back anything other than an away win. Bellingham was excellent on his debut for the club last week and will be looking to inspire his new side to another victory early in the campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Real Madrid |
24.1% ( 0.76) | 24.96% ( 0.2) | 50.94% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 51.05% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.71% ( -0.1) | 51.29% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.88% ( -0.09) | 73.12% ( 0.09) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.92% ( 0.63) | 36.08% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.14% ( 0.64) | 72.86% ( -0.64) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( -0.43) | 20.14% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.59% ( -0.69) | 52.41% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
Almeria 24.1%
Real Madrid 50.94%
Draw 24.95%
| Almeria | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.88% Total : 24.1% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 50.94% |
How you voted: Almeria vs Real Madrid
Almeria
7.5%Draw
5.0%Real Madrid
87.5%80
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Real Madrid
4-2
Almeria
Apr 29, 2015 7pm
Dec 12, 2014 7.45pm
Apr 12, 2014 9pm
Form Guide
Build-up
Real Madrid team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Almeria
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Almeria.
2 years ago
How Real Madrid could line up against Almeria
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Almeria.
2 years ago
Carlo Ancelotti confirms goalkeeping decision for Almeria clash
Real Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti says that Andriy Lunin will keep his spot between the sticks for Saturday's La Liga contest with Almeria.
2 years ago
