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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Almeria

Real Valladolid
1 - 0
Almeria

Weissman (90+3')
Sanchez (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Akieme (14'), de la Hoz (41'), Embarba (76'), Fernandes (80'), Samu (90+1'), Milovanovic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Sevilla
Saturday, August 27 at 9pm in La Liga

We said: Real Valladolid 1-1 Almeria

There is not too much between these two teams in terms of quality, and we are expecting a tight match on Monday evening. A defeat for either would be damaging for their confidence, even at this stage of the season, but we can see a close match finishing all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawAlmeria
45.98% (3.826 3.83) 25.55% (-0.251 -0.25) 28.46% (-3.58 -3.58)
Both teams to score 52.94% (-1.044 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.39% (-0.511 -0.51)50.6% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.48% (-0.453 -0.45)72.51% (0.449 0.45)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01% (1.593 1.59)21.99% (-1.597 -1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (2.357 2.36)55.3% (-2.36 -2.36)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (-2.784 -2.78)32.14% (2.78 2.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (-3.283 -3.28)68.62% (3.279 3.28)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 45.98%
    Almeria 28.46%
    Draw 25.55%
Real ValladolidDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.7 0.7)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.347 0.35)
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.881 0.88)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.382 0.38)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.614 0.61)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.219 0.22)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.293 0.29)
4-2 @ 1% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.143 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.02% (-0.464 -0.46)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.616 -0.62)
0-2 @ 4.55% (-0.647 -0.65)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.459 -0.46)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.402 -0.4)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.46%

How you voted: Real Valladolid vs Almeria

Real Valladolid
43.9%
Draw
31.7%
Almeria
24.5%
139
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 5.15pm
Real Valladolid
2-2
Almeria
Mesa (23'), Toni (48')
Toni (24'), Mesa (57')
Ramazani (20'), Ely (88')
Akieme (21'), Samu (59'), Eguaras (73'), Puigmal (77'), de la Hoz (90'), Sadiq (90+6')
Nov 20, 2021 7.30pm
Almeria
3-1
Real Valladolid
Ramazani (52'), Akieme (70'), Portillo (86')
Samu (45+2'), de la Hoz (77'), Babic (90+2')
Ramos (8' og.)
Perez (30'), Leon (42')
Plano (37')
Mar 18, 2018 11am
Real Valladolid
2-1
Almeria
Plano (60'), Mata (86')
Martinez (88'), Gianniotas (90')
Marreh (3')
Rodriguez (54'), Marreh (90')
Oct 15, 2017 5pm
Almeria
1-1
Real Valladolid
Verza (2')
Munoz (78')
Fidel (90')
Mata (36' pen.)
Fernandez (81'), Villa (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona11100137102730
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Villarreal116322019121
4Osasuna126331716121
5Atletico MadridAtletico11551167920
6Athletic Bilbao115331711618
7Real BetisBetis11533119218
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10GironaGirona124351517-215
11Sevilla114341215-315
12Celta Vigo114161720-313
13AlavesAlaves124171419-513
14Real Sociedad11335810-212
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe1117389-110
17Espanyol113171019-910
18Las PalmasLas Palmas112361319-69
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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