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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Almeria

Real Valladolid
1 - 0
Almeria

Weissman (90+3')
Sanchez (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Akieme (14'), de la Hoz (41'), Embarba (76'), Fernandes (80'), Samu (90+1'), Milovanovic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Sevilla
Saturday, August 27 at 9pm in La Liga

We said: Real Valladolid 1-1 Almeria

There is not too much between these two teams in terms of quality, and we are expecting a tight match on Monday evening. A defeat for either would be damaging for their confidence, even at this stage of the season, but we can see a close match finishing all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawAlmeria
45.98% (3.826 3.83) 25.55% (-0.251 -0.25) 28.46% (-3.58 -3.58)
Both teams to score 52.94% (-1.044 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.39% (-0.511 -0.51)50.6% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.48% (-0.453 -0.45)72.51% (0.449 0.45)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01% (1.593 1.59)21.99% (-1.597 -1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (2.357 2.36)55.3% (-2.36 -2.36)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (-2.784 -2.78)32.14% (2.78 2.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (-3.283 -3.28)68.62% (3.279 3.28)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 45.98%
    Almeria 28.46%
    Draw 25.55%
Real ValladolidDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.7 0.7)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.347 0.35)
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.881 0.88)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.382 0.38)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.614 0.61)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.219 0.22)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.293 0.29)
4-2 @ 1% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.143 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.02% (-0.464 -0.46)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.616 -0.62)
0-2 @ 4.55% (-0.647 -0.65)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.459 -0.46)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.402 -0.4)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.46%

How you voted: Real Valladolid vs Almeria

Real Valladolid
43.9%
Draw
31.7%
Almeria
24.5%
139
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 5.15pm
Real Valladolid
2-2
Almeria
Mesa (23'), Toni (48')
Toni (24'), Mesa (57')
Ramazani (20'), Ely (88')
Akieme (21'), Samu (59'), Eguaras (73'), Puigmal (77'), de la Hoz (90'), Sadiq (90+6')
Nov 20, 2021 7.30pm
Almeria
3-1
Real Valladolid
Ramazani (52'), Akieme (70'), Portillo (86')
Samu (45+2'), de la Hoz (77'), Babic (90+2')
Ramos (8' og.)
Perez (30'), Leon (42')
Plano (37')
Mar 18, 2018 11am
Real Valladolid
2-1
Almeria
Plano (60'), Mata (86')
Martinez (88'), Gianniotas (90')
Marreh (3')
Rodriguez (54'), Marreh (90')
Oct 15, 2017 5pm
Almeria
1-1
Real Valladolid
Verza (2')
Munoz (78')
Fidel (90')
Mata (36' pen.)
Fernandez (81'), Villa (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
14-28
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6pm
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Bills
9.30pm
Packers
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid19134243192443
2Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona197472725225
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196752123-225
11Osasuna186752327-425
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
15Leganes194781829-1119
16AlavesAlaves194592131-1017
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Valencia1927101829-1113
20Real ValladolidValladolid1933121337-2412


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