Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 74.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 8.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.36%) and 0-3 (10.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.