We said: Valencia 1-2 Barcelona
Valencia will certainly be the fresher of the two sides, and it has been an emotional week for Barcelona. Xavi will be demanding a response from his players on Saturday evening, though, and we are expecting the Catalan outfit to return to winning ways at Mestalla.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Valencia win it was 2-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.