League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
Derry3 - 0Waterford
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Waterford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shamrock 2-2 Derry
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Waterford 3-1 St Patrick's
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Derry City | Draw | Waterford United |
55.13% ( -0.2) | 23.75% ( 0.04) | 21.13% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 51.08% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.58% ( 0.03) | 49.42% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.54% ( 0.02) | 71.46% ( -0.02) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.21% ( -0.06) | 17.79% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.49% ( -0.11) | 48.51% ( 0.12) |
Waterford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.14% ( 0.18) | 37.86% ( -0.18) |