League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 3
Mar 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
Derry2 - 1St Patrick's
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and St Patrick's Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sligo 0-0 Derry
Saturday, February 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Saturday, February 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 0-1 Bohemians
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 17.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Derry City | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
59.12% ( 0.03) | 23.03% ( -0.02) | 17.85% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.97% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.15% ( 0.05) | 50.84% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.27% ( 0.05) | 72.73% ( -0.05) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.12% ( 0.03) | 16.87% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.1% ( 0.06) | 46.9% ( -0.06) |
St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.71% ( 0.02) | 42.29% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.31% ( 0.01) | 78.69% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Derry City 59.11%
St Patrick's Athletic 17.85%
Draw 23.02%
Derry City | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
1-0 @ 12.69% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.7% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 59.11% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.02% | 0-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 17.85% |
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 17, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-13 18:01:37
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shelbourne | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 28 |
2 | Derry CityDerry | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 27 |
3 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
4 | Waterford UnitedWaterford | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 22 |
5 | Galway United | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Bohemians | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
7 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Sligo RoversSligo | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
9 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
10 | DundalkDundalk | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
> League of Ireland Premier Full Table |
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