Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 76.97%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 8.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.76%) and 1-0 (10.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.09%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Drogheda United would win this match.