Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 69.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 12.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.