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Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 34
Oct 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park (Dundalk)
Derry City

Dundalk
0 - 2
Derry


Oostenbrink (27'), Dervin (51'), Boyle (82'), Garbett (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Whelan (16'), Patching (77' pen.)
Connolly (57'), Idehen (90+1')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galway United 1-1 Dundalk
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 1-1 Sligo
Monday, October 14 at 7.15pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 16.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.12%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Dundalk win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
DundalkDrawDerry City
16.89% (0.733 0.73) 23.77% (0.313 0.31) 59.33% (-1.046 -1.05)
Both teams to score 44.15% (0.539 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.98% (-0.061 -0.06)55.02% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.71% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)76.29% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.05% (0.925 0.93)45.95% (-0.92299999999999 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.32% (0.71 0.71)81.68% (-0.71000000000001 -0.71)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (-0.405 -0.41)18.31% (0.404 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.6% (-0.69 -0.69)49.4% (0.691 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 16.89%
    Derry City 59.32%
    Draw 23.76%
DundalkDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 6.54% (0.183 0.18)
2-1 @ 4.32% (0.174 0.17)
2-0 @ 2.54% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.12% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 0.95% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 16.89%
1-1 @ 11.1% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 14.28% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 12.12% (-0.29 -0.29)
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.86% (-0.257 -0.26)
1-3 @ 5.34% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.91% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-4 @ 2.26% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.031 0.03)
0-5 @ 0.99% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 59.32%

How you voted: Dundalk vs Derry

Dundalk
0.0%
Draw
28.6%
Derry City
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Derry
1-1
Dundalk
Mullen (64')
O'Reilly (44'), Connolly (67')
Mountney (21')
Keogh (57'), Gullan (74'), Boyle (78'), Dervin (78')
May 31, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Dundalk
0-0
Derry
Gullan (18'), Muller (56')
Hoban (88')
Apr 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Derry
4-1
Dundalk
O'Reilly (31'), Patching (46'), Mullen (58'), Duffy (65')
O'Kane (75')
Benson (14'), Animasahun (42')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Dundalk
1-3
Derry
Hoban (90+6' pen.)
Horgan (19'), Leahy (25')
Patching (42', 77'), Doherty (47')
McMullan (85')
May 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Derry
3-0
Dundalk
McEneff (19'), Kavanagh (60'), Duffy (83')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shelbourne361712740271363
2Shamrock RoversShamrock361710950351561
3St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's361781151371459
4Derry CityDerry361413948311755
5Galway United361313103329452
6Sligo RoversSligo361310134051-1149
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9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda36713164158-1734
10DundalkDundalk36511202350-2726


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