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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 28
Aug 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Derry City

Waterford
0 - 1
Derry


McDonald (24'), Glenfield (40'), Horton (68'), Leahy (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Doherty (60')
McMullan (51'), Duffy (88')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Waterford United and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bohemians 2-3 Waterford
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 1-1 Dundalk
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 50.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 23.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Waterford United win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.

Result
Waterford UnitedDrawDerry City
23.63% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 26.37% (0.02 0.02) 50.01% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.54% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.03% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)56.97% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.13% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)77.87% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Waterford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.67% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.35% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)22.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.4% (-0.058 -0.06)56.61% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Waterford United 23.63%
    Derry City 50%
    Draw 26.36%
Waterford UnitedDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 3.88% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 23.63%
1-1 @ 12.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.07% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 13.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.88% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 50%

How you voted: Waterford vs Derry

Waterford United
16.7%
Draw
33.3%
Derry City
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 19
Derry
3-0
Waterford
Duffy (11'), Connolly (21'), Hoban (30')
O'Reilly (38'), Diallo (84')

Power (20'), O'Keeffe (23'), McDonald (39'), Skwierczynski (90')
Apr 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Waterford
0-2
Derry

McCourt (37'), Duffy (81'), Salisbury (90+1')
Patching (38' pen.), Hoban (74')
Hoban (56'), Radkowski (82')
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Derry
3-0
Waterford
Hoban (41', 45+5', 52' pen.)

Macadam (43')
Leahy (51')
Nov 2, 2021 6.15pm
Gameweek 30
Waterford
2-2
Derry
Quitirna (3'), Halford (39')
Power (7'), Martin (23'), Evans (71'), Stafford (90+2')
Lafferty (30'), McJannett (90+3')
Toal (56')
Jul 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Derry
2-0
Waterford
McLaughlin (42'), Thomson (52')
Toal (85')

(31'), Hutchison (34'), (71'), (90')
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