MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 15:51:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 26
Aug 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park

Dundalk
0 - 2
Galway United


Burns (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Walsh (53', 87')
Hickey (64'), Caulfield (65'), O'Connor (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Galway United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bohemians 1-1 Dundalk
Friday, July 26 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 2-0 Galway United
Saturday, July 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Dundalk 0-1 Galway United

Despite Galway United's recent decline, they enter this game against relegation-battling Dundalk as the favourites to take all three points, and we expect exactly that with a win for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.45%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (12.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galway United would win this match.

Result
DundalkDrawGalway United
32.44% (0.287 0.29) 29.82% (0.064 0.06) 37.74% (-0.349 -0.35)
Both teams to score 42.37% (-0.114 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.28% (-0.162 -0.16)64.71% (0.16199999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.31% (-0.113 -0.11)83.69% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.32% (0.119 0.12)36.68% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.53% (0.119 0.12)73.47% (-0.119 -0.12)
Galway United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.92% (-0.306 -0.31)33.08% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.32% (-0.34 -0.34)69.67% (0.34 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 32.43%
    Galway United 37.73%
    Draw 29.82%
DundalkDrawGalway United
1-0 @ 12.16% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.75% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.1% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 32.43%
1-1 @ 13.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.13% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.82%
0-1 @ 13.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.74% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 37.73%

How you voted: Dundalk vs Galway United

Dundalk
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Galway United
20.0%
10
Head to Head
May 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Galway United
2-0
Dundalk
Munro (23' og.), Nugent (72')
Walsh (70'), McCormack (89')

Doyle (61'), Muller (90')
Feb 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Dundalk
0-2
Galway United
McCarthy (10'), Dervin (30')
Slevin (44'), Brouder (69')
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