We said: Sligo Rovers 2-0 Drogheda United
Sligo were excellent against Shelbourne last time out, and we are expecting them to pick up another three points here. Drogheda have the quality to cause the hosts issues, but the away side are struggling for form, and we are finding it difficult to back them to pick up a positive result on Monday night.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 47.86%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.