We said: Barnsley 3-1 Cheltenham Town
Cheltenham Town have been resilient under Darrell Clarke in their bid to defy the odds and escape the bottom four, but the Robins' momentum has slowed somewhat.
Coming up against a free-scoring Barnsley side at Oakwell, we can only envisage the visitors being overpowered on Saturday and back the Reds to strengthen their top-two hopes with a win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 57.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.