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Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
Barnsley

Carlisle
2 - 3
Barnsley

Armstrong (10'), Butterworth (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Williams (33'), McAtee (49'), Russell (76')
O'Keeffe (66'), Killip (90'), Grant (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 3-2 Carlisle
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-5 Lincoln
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 0-2 Barnsley

Although Barnsley experienced a disappointing result at the weekend, we think that the promotion hopefuls will issue an immediate response and return to winning ways against a struggling Carlisle side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBarnsley
18.98% (1.027 1.03) 21.81% (1.198 1.2) 59.21% (-2.227 -2.23)
Both teams to score 53.86% (-2.149 -2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.97% (-3.78 -3.78)44.03% (3.776 3.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.58% (-3.791 -3.79)66.41% (3.787 3.79)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.99% (-1.105 -1.11)37% (1.102 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.21% (-1.114 -1.11)73.79% (1.111 1.11)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49% (-1.883 -1.88)14.51% (1.882 1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.48% (-3.764 -3.76)42.52% (3.76 3.76)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 18.98%
    Barnsley 59.21%
    Draw 21.8%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 5.34% (0.693 0.69)
2-1 @ 5.12% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 2.65% (0.274 0.27)
3-1 @ 1.7% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 18.98%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.69 0.69)
0-0 @ 5.37% (0.836 0.84)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.8%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.979 0.98)
0-2 @ 10% (0.294 0.29)
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 6.44% (-0.258 -0.26)
1-3 @ 6.4% (-0.459 -0.46)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.332 -0.33)
0-4 @ 3.11% (-0.358 -0.36)
1-4 @ 3.09% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.282 -0.28)
0-5 @ 1.2% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-5 @ 1.19% (-0.276 -0.28)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 59.21%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Barnsley

Carlisle United
17.6%
Draw
15.7%
Barnsley
66.7%
51
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Barnsley
2-1
Carlisle
Cole (58'), Kane (86' pen.)
Armstrong (7')
Armstrong (81')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Barnsley
0-3
Carlisle

Styles (48'), Andersen (57'), Bahre (83')
McKirdy (24'), Bridge (58' pen.), Thomas (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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