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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Portsmouth |
38.72% ( 2.88) | 26.14% ( -0.66) | 35.14% ( -2.22) |
Both teams to score 53.64% ( 2.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.12% ( 2.68) | 50.88% ( -2.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.24% ( 2.31) | 72.76% ( -2.31) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.27% ( 2.92) | 25.72% ( -2.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.35% ( 3.81) | 60.65% ( -3.81) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.22% ( -0.04) | 27.78% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.63% ( -0.05) | 63.36% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.5) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.32) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.26) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.72% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.8) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.3) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( -1.04) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.67) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |