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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 8
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Portsmouth

Barnsley
3 - 1
Portsmouth

Norwood (17'), Cadden (20'), Cole (60')
Kitching (37')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bishop (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Barnsley and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Barnsley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 1-1 Portsmouth

Both teams have proven to be tough to beat in recent times, and with three of the last four competitive meetings between the two sides finishing all square, we think that Barnsley and Portsmouth will play out another draw on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawPortsmouth
46.25% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08) 25.83% (0.029 0.03) 27.92% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.71% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.97% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)52.03% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)73.76% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)22.47% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.11 -0.11)56.02% (0.11000000000001 0.11)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)33.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.08% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)69.92% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 46.25%
    Portsmouth 27.92%
    Draw 25.83%
BarnsleyDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 11.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 46.25%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.52% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 27.92%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Portsmouth

Barnsley
65.1%
Draw
23.3%
Portsmouth
11.6%
43
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Fourth Round
Portsmouth
4-2
Barnsley
Close (37'), Marquis (45'), Curtis (62'), Burgess (76')
Woodrow (60'), Chaplin (91')
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Barnsley
1-1
Portsmouth
Woodrow (61')
McGeehan (17'), Woodrow (41')
Evans (43')
Naylor (20'), Curtis (69'), Brown (90')
Feb 18, 2012 3pm
Barnsley
2-0
Portsmouth
O'Brien (76'), Done (90')
McEveley (43')

Kitson (26'), Mokoena (54'), Ben Haim (62')
Kitson (42')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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