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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 36.42%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
36.42% ( 0.57) | 27.81% ( -0.17) | 35.77% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 48.36% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.45% ( 0.65) | 57.55% ( -0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.67% ( 0.51) | 78.34% ( -0.51) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.75% ( 0.68) | 30.25% ( -0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.58% ( 0.81) | 66.42% ( -0.81) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% ( 0.07) | 30.66% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% ( 0.09) | 66.9% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
1-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.32% Total : 36.41% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |