Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lincoln City in this match.