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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
19.94% ( -0.14) | 24.41% ( -0.13) | 55.65% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 47.4% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.57% ( 0.31) | 53.43% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.04% ( 0.26) | 74.96% ( -0.26) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.59% ( 0.03) | 41.41% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.08% ( 0.03) | 77.92% ( -0.03) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.9% ( 0.22) | 19.1% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.28% ( 0.37) | 50.72% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.16% Total : 19.94% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 10.83% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.98% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 55.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |