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League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Burton Albion

Bolton
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Bakayoko (87'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+8')
Afolayan (49'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hughes (73')
Adeboyejo (52')
Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Burton Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Accrington 2-3 Bolton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 70.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBurton Albion
70.47% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 17.84% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 11.69% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.29% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.02% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)40.98% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.63% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)63.37% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.58% (0.015999999999991 0.02)10.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.01% (0.036000000000001 0.04)33.98% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.02% (-0.107 -0.11)44.98% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.08% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)80.92% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 70.46%
    Burton Albion 11.69%
    Draw 17.84%
Bolton WanderersDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 11.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.03% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.11% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.31% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 70.46%
1-1 @ 8.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 17.84%
0-1 @ 3.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.38% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.9% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 11.69%

How you voted: Bolton vs Burton Albion

Bolton Wanderers
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Burton Albion
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Bolton
Powell (11'), Brayford (14', 18')
Mancienne (55')
Charles (90+4')
Williams (68')
Sep 6, 2021 8pm
Bolton
0-0
Burton Albion

Williams (36'), Evatt (90+5'), Johnston (90+5')

Hamer (9'), Akins (19'), Brayford (69'), Shaughnessy (80')
Brayford (86')
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
Burton Albion
2-2
Bolton
Murphy (28', 65')
Sbarra (90')
Delaney (20'), Hamilton (38')
Nsiala (34')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Bolton
3-4
Burton Albion
Dodoo (5'), Murphy (11'), Politic (84')
Murphy (29'), Buckley (75')
Murphy (49')
Templeton (13'), Akins (26', 45'), Boyce (81')
Fraser (70')
Apr 28, 2018 3pm
Burton Albion
2-0
Bolton
Akpan (28'), Akins (36')
McFadzean (11'), Akins (79')

Pratley (33'), Beevers (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Browns
32-41
Broncos
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148
> League One Full Table


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