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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.25%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Crawley Town |
20.61% ( -1.1) | 23.73% ( -0.25) | 55.65% ( 1.35) |
Both teams to score 50.39% ( -0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.03% ( -0.25) | 49.96% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.05% ( -0.22) | 71.95% ( 0.22) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.3% ( -1.25) | 38.69% ( 1.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.57% ( -1.21) | 75.43% ( 1.2) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.19% ( 0.41) | 17.8% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.47% ( 0.7) | 48.52% ( -0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.47% Total : 20.61% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 10.25% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.9% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 5.6% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 55.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |