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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Cambridge
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Lankester (3'), Smith (57' pen.)
Smith (69'), Mitov (90+4'), McGrandles (90+2'), Morrison (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Quitirna (82')
Brown (0'), Rooney (68'), Wiredu (69'), Earl (74'), Marriott (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Fleetwood Town

Two of the last three meetings between these two sides have finished in draws, and we are predicting another stalemate on Friday afternoon. Cambridge were excellent against Port Vale last time out and will fancy their chances of avoiding defeat in front of their own supporters here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
38.32% (0.013000000000005 0.01) 27.28% (0.0019999999999989 0) 34.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.89% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.41% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.6% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)76.76% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)63.85% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)30.56% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.22% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)66.79% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 38.32%
    Fleetwood Town 34.4%
    Draw 27.27%
Cambridge UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.91% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.92% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 38.32%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 34.4%

Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Fleetwood
1-1
Cambridge
Lane (72')
Camps (73')
Pilkington (65' og.)
May (41'), Okedina (81')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
2-2
Fleetwood
May (35'), Tracey (51')
Digby (30')
Hill (2'), Lane (76')
Nov 8, 2014 3pm
First Round
Cambridge
1-0
Fleetwood
Appiah (80')

Hitchcock (68')
Proctor (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
20Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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