We said: Fleetwood Town 1-0 Port Vale
Both sides have struggled for form lately, so we think this will be a closely-fought contest.
However, Port Vale have lost their last three matches on their travels, so we think Fleetwood will have enough quality to edge this match.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.