Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.