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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Reading logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Reading

Harris (32')
Goodrham (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brown (76' og.)
Craig (24'), Yiadom (63'), Azeez (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oxford United 0-1 Reading

Oxford United will be the favourites walking into this weekend due to the league positions of each club, but recent form tells a different story. Reading have been grinding out results against some of League One's strongest teams lately, and Saturday could provide another upset. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawReading
46.51% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14) 23.96% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 29.53% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 58.92% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)43.07% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.53% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)65.47% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.3% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)18.7% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.94% (-0.11 -0.11)50.06% (0.108 0.11)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47% (0.064000000000007 0.06)27.52% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.96% (0.082000000000001 0.08)63.03% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 46.51%
    Reading 29.53%
    Draw 23.96%
Oxford UnitedDrawReading
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.63% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 46.51%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 29.53%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Reading

Oxford United
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Reading
22.2%
18
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Reading
1-1
Oxford Utd
Smith (43')
Craig (19'), Holmes (51')
Brown (39')
Thorniley (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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