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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
43.84% ( -0.82) | 26.03% ( 0.27) | 30.13% ( 0.55) |
Both teams to score 52.42% ( -0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.27% ( -0.84) | 51.73% ( 0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.49% ( -0.73) | 73.5% ( 0.73) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.52% ( -0.75) | 23.48% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.5% ( -1.1) | 57.5% ( 1.1) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.5% ( -0.04) | 31.49% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.11% ( -0.04) | 67.88% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.83% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 38 |
2 | Wrexham | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 34 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 33 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Barnsley | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Reading | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 27 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 23 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 20 |
16 | Blackpool | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 20 |
17 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |