Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.