Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.