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Championship header 2

League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Port Vale

Oxford Utd
4 - 0
Port Vale

Bodin (10', 62'), Taylor (27', 66')
Henry (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Robinson (35'), Conlon (39'), Harrison (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Exeter
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Oxford United 0-1 Port Vale

 Port Vale have won or drawn four of the last five matches they have played away from home, while Oxford have lost four of the last five fixtures they have hosted at the Kassam Stadium. The Valiants have also scored in each of their last eight games in all competitions, so we think they will have enough to edge this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawPort Vale
48.22% (-0.125 -0.13) 24.97% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 26.82% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.56% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.79%49.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73%71.27%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)20.44% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.11% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)52.89% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.32% (0.084999999999994 0.08)32.68% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78% (0.094999999999999 0.09)69.23% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 48.21%
    Port Vale 26.82%
    Draw 24.97%
Oxford UnitedDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 48.21%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68%
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 26.82%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Port Vale

Oxford United
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Port Vale
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2017 7.45pm
Port Vale
2-0
Oxford Utd
Gunning (16'), Pope (53')
Myers-Harness (10'), Denton (36')

Thomas (42'), Martin (89')
Apr 17, 2017 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-0
Port Vale
Ruffles (14'), Maguire (82')

Streete (40')
Oct 22, 2016 3pm
Port Vale
2-2
Oxford Utd
Cicilia (54'), Taylor (59' pen.)
Mac-Intosch (26')
Dunkley (11'), Crowley (19')
Nelson (58'), Dunkley (65')
Mar 2, 2013 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-1
Port Vale
Smalley (76'), Potter (10')
Batt (42'), Parker (54'), Capaldi (90')
Loft (16')
Jones (54'), Myrie-Williams (81'), Loft (85')
Oct 15, 2012 7.45pm
Port Vale
3-0
Oxford Utd
Morsy (61'), Vincent (51'), Pope (30')
Burge (32'), Morsy (57')

Wright (90')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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