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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Forest Green Rovers

Port Vale
2 - 2
Forest Green

Odubeko (78'), Harrison (88' pen.)
Garrity (27'), Forrester (36'), Wilson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Peart-Harris (14'), Cargill (37')
Hendry (26'), Wickham (45'), O'Keeffe (74'), Moore-Taylor (76'), McGee (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-2 Port Vale
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

Port Vale have won three of their last five games, including that impressive win at Pride Park last weekend, and while they may not have the most potent attack, they face a Forest Green side who have been very generous in giving up goals. Rovers have won just one of their last six in League One, conceding 14 in the process, and their only away league win of the season came back in July on the opening day so they may struggle again here on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawForest Green Rovers
53.06% (0.092999999999996 0.09) 24.19% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04) 22.75% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.86% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54% (0.108 0.11)49.45% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.51% (0.097000000000001 0.1)71.49% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (0.076000000000008 0.08)18.58% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14% (0.128 0.13)49.85% (-0.129 -0.13)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7% (0.011000000000003 0.01)36.3% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.91% (0.010000000000002 0.01)73.08% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 53.06%
    Forest Green Rovers 22.75%
    Draw 24.19%
Port ValeDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.55% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.36% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 53.06%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 22.75%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Forest Green

Port Vale
81.3%
Draw
0.0%
Forest Green Rovers
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 7pm
Port Vale
1-1
Forest Green
Stokes (34' og.)
Smith (22')
Collins (41')
Adams (75'), Collins (90+3')
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Forest Green
2-3
Port Vale
Winchester (78' pen., 90')
Kitching (45')
Brisley (14'), Pope (38', 70')
Montano (80'), Legge (83'), Brisley (84'), Pope (90')
Clark (87'), Pope (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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