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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Oxford Utd
3 - 0
Shrewsbury

Stevens (17'), Brown (59'), Leigh (90+6')
Leigh (71'), Goodrham (80'), McEachran (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Anderson (47')
Anderson (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-0 Charlton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 3-1 Shrewsbury Town

 Oxford United are the more in-form side heading into this one, and the added advantage of playing on home turf makes them strong favourites. We are tipping the hosts to get the job done and come away with maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
59.08% (-1.152 -1.15) 22.6% (0.383 0.38) 18.32% (0.765 0.77)
Both teams to score 50.11% (0.239 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57% (-0.417 -0.42)48.42% (0.413 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.44% (-0.381 -0.38)70.56% (0.37700000000001 0.38)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.96% (-0.52799999999999 -0.53)16.04% (0.524 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.6% (-0.972 -0.97)45.4% (0.968 0.97)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.69% (0.65300000000001 0.65)40.31% (-0.659 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.06% (0.592 0.59)76.94% (-0.595 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 59.06%
    Shrewsbury Town 18.32%
    Draw 22.6%
Oxford UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.82% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.61% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.115 -0.11)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 59.06%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 22.6%
0-1 @ 5.88% (0.202 0.2)
1-2 @ 4.88% (0.168 0.17)
0-2 @ 2.67% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 18.32%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Shrewsbury

Oxford United
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Shrewsbury Town
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Oxford Utd
0-1
Shrewsbury
Bowman (74')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Shrewsbury
1-1
Oxford Utd
Pennington (65')
Brannagan (15')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Shrewsbury
1-2
Oxford Utd
Bowman (60')
Pennington (82')
Taylor (11'), Brannagan (82' pen.)
> Preview
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Oxford Utd
2-0
Shrewsbury
Sykes (46'), Brannagan (88')
> Preview
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Shrewsbury
2-3
Oxford Utd
Pennington (16'), Vela (25')
Walker (62')
Lee (3'), Henry (68'), Agyei (85')
Agyei (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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