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League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
Shrewsbury


Long (83'), Moore (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bowman (74')
Phillips (35'), Flanagan (55'), Shipley (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Barnsley
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Shrewsbury Town

Despite Shrewsbury not being able to get the better of Oxford in the last eight meetings between the sides, they are in much better form than their opponents on Saturday, so we think they will claim all three points. The sides shared the spoils in the reverse fixture back in November, but we think the Shrews can extend their winning streak here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
51.2% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 25.07% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 23.73% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (0.012 0.01)52.07% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (0.010000000000002 0.01)73.8% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66%20.34% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.27%52.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)36.85% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (0.018999999999998 0.02)73.64% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 51.19%
    Shrewsbury Town 23.73%
    Draw 25.07%
Oxford UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.5% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 51.19%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 23.73%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Shrewsbury

Oxford United
Draw
Shrewsbury Town
Oxford United
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Shrewsbury Town
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Shrewsbury
2-3
Oxford Utd
Pennington (16'), Vela (25')
Walker (62')
Lee (3'), Henry (68'), Agyei (85')
Agyei (90+6')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Oxford Utd
4-1
Shrewsbury
Atkinson (13'), Lee (36'), Taylor (66'), Long (77')
Brannagan (74')
Chapman (51')
Vela (64'), Norburn (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham37268363253886
2Wrexham39238854302477
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe382111665362974
4Charlton AthleticCharlton392091053351869
5Stockport CountyStockport391911955361968
6Reading381711105547862
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield381871352381461
8Bolton WanderersBolton38186146057360
9Leyton Orient381851554381659
10Blackpool391415105951857
11Barnsley39159155355-254
12Lincoln CityLincoln391311155346750
13Stevenage381310153539-449
14Mansfield TownMansfield38138174552-747
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough38129175763-645
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham38129174249-745
17Exeter CityExeter38129174053-1345
18Wigan AthleticWigan371111153437-344
19Northampton TownNorthampton391013163857-1943
20Bristol Rovers39126214063-2342
21Burton Albion38812183955-1636
22Crawley TownCrawley3999214471-2736
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge39710223763-2631
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3877243566-3128


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