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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Lincoln City |
60.38% ( -0) | 22.38% ( -0.02) | 17.24% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.78% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.85% ( 0.09) | 49.15% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.78% ( 0.08) | 71.22% ( -0.09) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.14% ( 0.03) | 15.85% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.95% ( 0.06) | 45.05% ( -0.06) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.97% ( 0.07) | 42.03% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.54% ( 0.06) | 78.46% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 12.27% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 60.38% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 22.37% | 0-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 17.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |